It's 9:35 AM in Redmond. Do YOU know where our SP-1 is?
waiting. . . waiting. . . waiting. . . .
waiting...
waiting...
waiting...
waiting...
waiting...
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I've been looking forward to things today
1: Getting off work
2: Getting some money
3: Sending that money to Whoisyourdaddy for his CPU and Mobob
4: Sending money to someone else for a second NIC
5: Sending out the rebate for some RAM
6: GETTING SP1!
I've done 5 of those, it's 5:15 CDT, and I want number 6 dammit!
1: Getting off work
2: Getting some money
3: Sending that money to Whoisyourdaddy for his CPU and Mobob
4: Sending money to someone else for a second NIC
5: Sending out the rebate for some RAM
6: GETTING SP1!
I've done 5 of those, it's 5:15 CDT, and I want number 6 dammit!
I'm devising a formula to determine what the actual release date is on these patches, drivers, and service packs from various sources.
It seems that everything from LiveWare 3.0 ("Mid-June"), Creative DXR3 final ("Real Soon Now"), IE 5.5 ("Could be Wednesday"), and now Win2k SP-1 ("Should be available Monday") never arrive when predicted. How many average days are these things delayed beyond the expected date? Start with the "Base Fudge Factor", or BFF... This depends on how specific the forecast was. If it was a specific day, adding about 2 days will usually do the trick. "Mid-<fill in some month>"? Add a whole month to that. "Sometime Next Week"? Figure on the week after that. Now for the company specific factor.... You must add an additional factor for the company making the claim ("Added Company Fudge Factor", or ACFF), in addition to the BFF.... Microsoft? Usually the BFF works. Creative Labs? Add an extra 50% to theirs.
So the formula is: BFF + ACFF = Actual Expected Release date.
This service pack is from Microsoft, and had an expected specific date of... TODAY, so adding the two days for BFF with nothing extra for ACFF? I'm guessing we'll probably see it sometime Wednesday. Let's see if my hypothesis holds up....
It seems that everything from LiveWare 3.0 ("Mid-June"), Creative DXR3 final ("Real Soon Now"), IE 5.5 ("Could be Wednesday"), and now Win2k SP-1 ("Should be available Monday") never arrive when predicted. How many average days are these things delayed beyond the expected date? Start with the "Base Fudge Factor", or BFF... This depends on how specific the forecast was. If it was a specific day, adding about 2 days will usually do the trick. "Mid-<fill in some month>"? Add a whole month to that. "Sometime Next Week"? Figure on the week after that. Now for the company specific factor.... You must add an additional factor for the company making the claim ("Added Company Fudge Factor", or ACFF), in addition to the BFF.... Microsoft? Usually the BFF works. Creative Labs? Add an extra 50% to theirs.
So the formula is: BFF + ACFF = Actual Expected Release date.
This service pack is from Microsoft, and had an expected specific date of... TODAY, so adding the two days for BFF with nothing extra for ACFF? I'm guessing we'll probably see it sometime Wednesday. Let's see if my hypothesis holds up....
SIGH!...
Jeeze, I hope SP1 doesn't come out tomorrow. Since MS has been so busy promoting Media Player 7's release tomorrow, all their file servers will be hopelessly bogged-down.
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"This year will go down in history. For the first time, a civilized nation has full gun registration. Our streets will be safer, our police more efficient, and the world will follow our lead into the future!" -Adolph Hitler, 1935
Jeeze, I hope SP1 doesn't come out tomorrow. Since MS has been so busy promoting Media Player 7's release tomorrow, all their file servers will be hopelessly bogged-down.
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"This year will go down in history. For the first time, a civilized nation has full gun registration. Our streets will be safer, our police more efficient, and the world will follow our lead into the future!" -Adolph Hitler, 1935
From the private german SP1 usergroup (dated 07/14/00):
Quote:We want to welcome you to the Service Pack 1 Newsgroup. There has been someconfusion on the language to use when writing your posts. As mentioned in
your beta letter, we would ask that you post your requests in English on
this newsgroup so we can help you more efficiently. Please file bugs that
you see as quickly as possible as we are very close to Release.
....and NO there is no GOLD version on the private NTBETA FTP... only the RC.
Cheers,
Christian
Quote:We want to welcome you to the Service Pack 1 Newsgroup. There has been someconfusion on the language to use when writing your posts. As mentioned in
your beta letter, we would ask that you post your requests in English on
this newsgroup so we can help you more efficiently. Please file bugs that
you see as quickly as possible as we are very close to Release.
....and NO there is no GOLD version on the private NTBETA FTP... only the RC.
Cheers,
Christian
